A critical game as regards the title battle this week as Celtic travelled to the soft play centre otherwise known as Ibrox. The SFA played it safe, putting their best guy in charge, John Beaton. The impact of big calls being incorrect can then be evaluated using the framework outlined here -> Honest Mistakes in … [continue reading]
Honest Mistakes
Honest Mistakes: Week 31 – Here We Go Again
After an interminable international break, the SPFL Premiership was back with Celtic at Livingstone and The Rangers hosting Hibernian. The impact of big calls being incorrect can then be evaluated using the framework outlined here -> Honest Mistakes in the SPFL. 30/03/24 The Rangers vs Hibernian Incident 1 Referee David Dickinson Game Minute 20th Score … [continue reading]
Patterns of Assistance: “An anomaly that cannot be explained”
On Thursday 28th March the following podcast was recorded on the A Celtic State of Mind platform. You can view it here or listen wherever you consume your pods. This is the first in a series of articles putting on record the details behind the data. First up, The Rangers remarkable lack of jeopardy as … [continue reading]
Honest Mistakes – Week 29.5
A quick one to cover the last fixture before the international break as Celtic hosted St Johnstone whilst The Rangers forgot their trunks when visiting tropical Dundee. The impact of big calls being incorrect can then be evaluated using the framework outlined here -> Honest Mistakes in the SPFL. A framework for assessing red card … [continue reading]
Honest Mistakes – There’s Been An Intervention!
Two weeks of fixtures for the high price you pay to access all the data on this site – insert a sarky emoji here. This takes us up to the Scottish Cup matches and both sides have played 29 SPFL matches. The impact of big calls being incorrect can then be evaluated using the framework … [continue reading]
Honest Mistakes – Week 27
Week twenty-seven of the fixtures in the SPFL with no let-up in the array of questionable decisions. The impact of big calls being incorrect can then be evaluated using the framework outlined here -> Honest Mistakes in the SPFL. 24/02/24 The Rangers vs Hearts Incident 1 Referee Nick Walsh Game Minute 48th Score At Time … [continue reading]
Red Card Impact
The review of the big calls affecting the top two in the SPFL by the Yorkshire Whistler throws up a 20 percent error rate currently. I then model the impact of that based on the expected points outcomes. Current Models As regards goals from open play given, not given, the model used is taken from … [continue reading]
Honest Mistakes – Week 26
A topsy-turvy weekend saw new leaders as plucky newcomers The Rangers hit the top of the league. This takes us up to date with all the SPFL Premiership matches. The impact of big calls being incorrect can then be evaluated using the framework outlined here -> Honest Mistakes in the SPFL. 17/02/24 Celtic vs Kilmarnock … [continue reading]
Honest Mistakes – To Week 25
A lull since the early January games but a solid batch of scrutiny is required this week. This takes us up to date with all the SPFL Premiership matches. The impact of big calls being incorrect can then be evaluated using the framework outlined here -> Honest Mistakes in the SPFL. 03/02/24 Aberdeen vs Celtic … [continue reading]
Honest Mistakes: “Phew! Back to Normal!”
The last round of matches occurred on the 2nd January before the break for winter. Celtic went to St Mirren whilst The Rangers hosted Kilmarnock. The impact of big calls being incorrect can then be evaluated using the framework outlined here -> Honest Mistakes in the SPFL. 02/01/24 St Mirren vs Celtic Incident 1 Referee … [continue reading]