On Thursday 28th March the following podcast was recorded on the A Celtic State of Mind platform. You can view it here or listen wherever you consume your pods. In the seventh written summary, I want to show you the aggregated estimated expected points impact of penalties and red cards. Summary of Impact of Red … [continue reading]
Red cards
Patterns of Assistance: The Crawford Allan Coincidences
On Thursday 28th March the following podcast was recorded on the A Celtic State of Mind platform. You can view it here or listen wherever you consume your pods. For the fifth written follow-up, I consider the distribution of awards of red cards. Red Card Differentials I would expect Celtic and Rangers to broadly receive … [continue reading]
Red Card Impact
The review of the big calls affecting the top two in the SPFL by the Yorkshire Whistler throws up a 20 percent error rate currently. I then model the impact of that based on the expected points outcomes. Current Models As regards goals from open play given, not given, the model used is taken from … [continue reading]