On Thursday 28th March the following podcast was recorded on the A Celtic State of Mind platform. You can view it here or listen wherever you consume your pods. For the fourth piece as a follow-up, I consider what the timing is around when penalties are awarded, and how impactful they are. I have established … [continue reading]
Refereeing
Patterns of Assistance: The Lack of Jeopardy
On Thursday 28th March the following podcast was recorded on the A Celtic State of Mind platform. You can view it here or listen wherever you consume your pods. In the third written piece as follow-up, I consider how likely a penalty is to be given and what the trends are in awarding and conceding … [continue reading]
Patterns of Assistance: The Yorkshire Whistler
On Thursday 28th March the following podcast was recorded on the A Celtic State of Mind platform. You can view it here or listen wherever you consume your pods. This is the second in a series of articles putting on record the details behind the data. Next up, The Yorkshire Whistler and the power of … [continue reading]
Patterns of Assistance: “An anomaly that cannot be explained”
On Thursday 28th March the following podcast was recorded on the A Celtic State of Mind platform. You can view it here or listen wherever you consume your pods. This is the first in a series of articles putting on record the details behind the data. First up, The Rangers remarkable lack of jeopardy as … [continue reading]
Honest Mistakes – Week 29.5
A quick one to cover the last fixture before the international break as Celtic hosted St Johnstone whilst The Rangers forgot their trunks when visiting tropical Dundee. The impact of big calls being incorrect can then be evaluated using the framework outlined here -> Honest Mistakes in the SPFL. A framework for assessing red card … [continue reading]
Honest Mistakes – There’s Been An Intervention!
Two weeks of fixtures for the high price you pay to access all the data on this site – insert a sarky emoji here. This takes us up to the Scottish Cup matches and both sides have played 29 SPFL matches. The impact of big calls being incorrect can then be evaluated using the framework … [continue reading]
Honest Mistakes – Week 27
Week twenty-seven of the fixtures in the SPFL with no let-up in the array of questionable decisions. The impact of big calls being incorrect can then be evaluated using the framework outlined here -> Honest Mistakes in the SPFL. 24/02/24 The Rangers vs Hearts Incident 1 Referee Nick Walsh Game Minute 48th Score At Time … [continue reading]
Red Card Impact
The review of the big calls affecting the top two in the SPFL by the Yorkshire Whistler throws up a 20 percent error rate currently. I then model the impact of that based on the expected points outcomes. Current Models As regards goals from open play given, not given, the model used is taken from … [continue reading]
Honest Mistakes – Week 26
A topsy-turvy weekend saw new leaders as plucky newcomers The Rangers hit the top of the league. This takes us up to date with all the SPFL Premiership matches. The impact of big calls being incorrect can then be evaluated using the framework outlined here -> Honest Mistakes in the SPFL. 17/02/24 Celtic vs Kilmarnock … [continue reading]
Honest Mistakes – To Week 25
A lull since the early January games but a solid batch of scrutiny is required this week. This takes us up to date with all the SPFL Premiership matches. The impact of big calls being incorrect can then be evaluated using the framework outlined here -> Honest Mistakes in the SPFL. 03/02/24 Aberdeen vs Celtic … [continue reading]